The Convention Nears; Mr B Makes a Prediction

Greetings Readers.

I'm BACK!

It's been a few months since I last wrote due to the length of time until the convention. My desire is to keep updating this site beginning now (August 5) and through the convention.

I am getting really excited for the opportunity to be a part of the process. I have purchased my plane tickets, made housing arrangements (I'm staying with some friends in Denver to cut down on costs), and am regularly reading the emails that the convention organizers and campaing staffers are sending.

There is not a whole lot exciting or newsworthy occuring for delegates as we prepare. The Obama campaign did announce that they are encouraging the DNC (Democratic National Committee) to fully seat the Michigan and Florida delegates which signals a slight change in their perspective from before, but one that many would argue is a good change.

I saw an article published on the CNN website today that makes a recent prediction I made look even more likely to occur. On July 31, I wrote several of my friends and family back home in Indiana (that is where I grew up) telling them that I thought Obama would choose the Senator from Indiana, Evan Bayh as his running mate. Lastest moves by the Obama campaign seem to indicate that I might be on to something. Here is the URL for the article: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/08/05/obama-to-make-home-state-appearance-with-vp-candidate/

The reason I made and am sticking by this prediction is that most pundits believe that Hillary Clinton is no longer on the "short list" of VP candidates. The biggest hint to this end is that she has been slated to speak on Tuesday at the DNCC while Wednesday is usually reserved for the Vice Presidential speech.

However, the reason I believe Evan Bayh may be the candidate is because there has not been hardly any "outcry" from HRC supporters and the most vocal group encouraging a Obama-Clinton ticket (voteboth.org) disbanded this week and endorsed Obama WITHOUT Clinton on the ticket. They did so quietly, politely, and with much support for Obama.

The reason I think this is true is because Evan Bayh is the candidate that Obama has selected. Sen Bayh is the only major (and he was major) Clinton supporter still on the short list. I believe that Clinton knows that Bayh is the candidate and has encouraged her supporters to 'stand-down.' Clinton and Bayh are close. He will certainly bring in her supporters that are still tentative regarding their support of Obama after this year's primary election.

From a native "Hoosier's" (that's what they call people from Indiana), Evan Bayh makes great sense. He balances Obama well, has excellent experience in the Senate, is VERY popular in a largely republican state, and is attractive to independent voters. He is very electable. I think we will all find this out soon, because I believe that Obama will pick him. If I'm right...I'm a genius. If I'm wrong, then it was a novice delegate's lousy prediction...we'll soon see.

I'll keep writing. I hope you keep reading.